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There is a rumor in Davos that Greece is getting ready to announce a debt deal either today or over the weekend. We've heard this last weekend but a deal would be a voluntary default and all eyes would then switch to Portugal. Portugal is expected to have huge losses to GDP in 2012.
Now, is this priced in?
You might see a small pop off a deal just from short covering....but Portugal bond yields have been spiking over the last few weeks. That could be the next country to worry about. What if they want a debt deal as well? Europe needs to be careful.
the numbers behind the US Debt Ceiling Rise. Focusing for two minutes on what this practically means for every man, woman, child, and politician, the shouting Chicagoan points out that when the US breaches this new limit then the world's entire population will be on the hook for $2,346 each (and $52,409 per US person).
That's what they said last week and it didn't happen. I think it probably is priced in since the market has been rallying on "Hopes" of a deal being done. If bondholders voluntarily agree to the haircut it wont trigger the credit default swaps used to insure the debt.
Today's decline is due to no deal in Greece and the Portugal situation
I agree. The market is looking very resilient. It tested the 1300 level on the S&P500 and held up nicely.
I believe it is due to the perception that someone will step in and fix the problems on the hands. There are not new issues which the market should be scared of. I am not a genius or fortune teller so any assuarance will be provided. Good Trading~~
There is still no Greece deal, I don't trust anything until it is approved by the EU and all the countries.
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