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Facebook (FB) Stock will IPO today after 11am EST time. If you are trading or watching FB stock today, comment below on any thoughts or trading plans. Comments move to the top so this is the easiest way for us to have a forum discussion.
Tags: discussion, facebook, fb, forum, ipo, shares, stock, trading
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Also who are the real user ? There is a lot of inactive account, lot of peoples that use 2 or 3 different account, peoples that past away...
So we will have to know what is a user for FB ? To have a real valuation.
Also you will have to understand which peoples click on the adv on FB.
On Google it's more easy to value for just one big reason:
it's A SEARCH engine, so peoples that use Goog look for something and beside the results you have advertisements related to the search, there is lot more chance that peoples click on the add and buy a products, cause they are in the process of looking for something...
On FB you go to se what's going on with your friends, you don't look for something specific... So it's why GM will not advetise no more on FB, the value of advertisement is VERY LOW for Car on FB.
The same "GM add" on a website that sell cars part or tire has lot more value, cause you are in a mood to buy something in the same category when you are on those website. On FB it's just to chat around, play, looking picture = just leisure ! So the add even if thy are relevant, woth a lot LESS than others website. Even on Twitter you can use it to looking to ha some information with the hash-tag, so it's have more value for advertiser than FB.. But Google stay the King of advertisement.
I will have hard time to value FB, many analyst said that the real price of FB is no more 20-25.... and in a time frame of 3-5 years it will be a t his real value with earning report.
For an investment I will not put any money in that machine, but for trade maybe but never near have an open trade for an earning report, NEVER :)
BTW: Rhee your picture ma me smile this morning :)
Nice picture Rhee! - Bulls and Bears are going to have a tough time valuing Facebook. Most of the time, Wall St values a company by earnings and or revenue. FB sports a forward p/e of 63 vs AAPL which is around 9-10 now. However, when you look at valuing Facebook per user, it looks very cheap. How can you monetize 900 million active users? This will be interesting over the years but FB cannot miss earnings estimates.
I think it was very wise of Cramer to tell people to hold off on Friday. Recent IPOs have not done so well; plus the P/E ratio is not what it should be. This said, when indicators turn positive on the 5min or 15min chart, I think it can be daytraded. Anything with volume can be daytraded. But manipulation long or shorting volume could move it erratically, as well. Definitely interesting to watch! Not often you watch a "new Google" join the market in realtime like this. ...But hype grosses me out, because there are so, so many other plays out there. And the market as a whole is still trending down -- although we should get our dead cat bounce next week.
Well that's good if it shows expired, it is better than pending. They should have everything cleared up by Monday pre market. I've never seen anything like this. I guess it was mainly due to the size of the IPO.
I think you will see it drop below $38 next week
SEC looking into the trade execution on Facebook now - some people still don't know if they bought or sold because it still says pending...
What a ride. back in all cash without a loss, we were lucky today the huge bids kept it up. They are determend to not let this fall below 38. everyone have good times. gonna be a sideways summer for sure
Worst IPO since a long time... FB should have been traded on BATS It could be just better and smooth...
Missed my plan with the delay on opening and the 2 halts on ZNGA.
I will keep my position in ZNGA as along till $10.00 at least with ZNGA I know thew value of the company.
Good Week-end to all
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