While the mood is certainly and undeniably bearish, I am a contrarian and want to show how being a contrarian has worked recently. Divergences on the MACD and Force Index helped to call the highs in April eight trading days before the Flash Crash. Japanese Candlestick Reversals have also worked well when volume is greater than the previous day. If history can teach us anything, it is to put personal feelings aside and to read the chart correctly. I was as bearish as they come for the second half of April and well into May, but I'm there are just way too many people selling short. Classic tops in the market are caused by excessive bullishness the whole way down. (1929, 2000, 2007)
If the market consolidated for a few days and created a Bullish Candlestick with a sharp increase in volume, it would be done on a momentum and volume bullish divergence.
The biggest moves throughout history come when the fewest amount of people participate in it.
Any feedback or questions are always welcome.
You need to be a member of Stocks To Buy Forum to add comments!
Join Stocks To Buy Forum